Polls show Obama is leading in crucial swing states

Bill Clinton was the warm-up act. He's almost lost his voice, croaking out his enthusiasm for Obama's re-election. As he put it, "I gave my voice in the service of my President."

Barack Obama was dressed in black and appeared to have a spring in the step as he arrived at this late night rally in northern Virginia. If you want to know why, read the poll numbers below.

I was standing next to David Axelrod, the President's master political tactician. He was relaxed. Ax - as he's known to friends and foes - thinks Obama has secured re-election so long as core Democrats don't stay at home on Tuesday.

Looking at this crowd, the President will be just fine. They're going to come out one last time for him. Ohio looks especially encouraging for Democrats.

And the poll numbers point to that fact as well. Here they are - though note the wild discrepancies in the first two Florida polls:

  • Colorado: Romney 47%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
  • Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 45% (Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon)
  • Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
  • Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Reuters/Ipsos)
  • Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
  • Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)
  • Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
  • Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
  • Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)
  • Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)