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  1. ITV Report

Majority think Scotland will be independent in 10 years

Most people in the UK think Scotland will be independent by 2025. Credit: Lynne Cameron / PA Archive/PA Images

Most people in the UK believe Scotland will be independent within the next decade, a poll suggests.

Just over half of people in Scotland and 59% of people in England think the UK will split by 2025, a Survation poll for think tank British Future found.

But three-fifths of Scots say independence is unlikely within the term of the current UK Parliament, with only a third predicting separation in the next five years.

72%
Of people in Scotland believe the country will be independent by 2040
48%
Of people in England think Scotland not be given any more powers
73%
Of people in Scotland say more powers should be devolved to the nations and regions

It's interesting that Scotland is split pretty much down the middle on whether independence will happen, even within a decade, while more people in England think it's already lost.

With nearly three quarters of Scots wanting more powers, Sturgeon can feel confident that a broad consensus, uniting Yes and No camps, supports a new settlement for Scotland.

David Cameron has more work to do with the English. Some doubt that the union can be saved and while only a minority are against Scotland getting more powers, he will have to persuade the undecideds that it's worth his time and energy.

– Sunder Katwala, director of British Future