An amber warning is in force for the risk of severe winds during Monday throughout the Anglia region. This is the second most severe grade of weather warning and advises people to 'be prepared' for the risk of damaging and disruptive winds.
The winds are likely to reach a peak during Monday morning as a very intense low pressure system is forecast to run northeastwards across the UK. There's a risk of gusts in excess of 80 miles per hour, especially near the coast.
Unsurprisingly, given that the depression hasn't yet formed in the Atlantic, there is still uncertainty with respect to the track and depth of the low pressure. The most likely track of Monday's storm brings the strongest winds through the Anglia region. The image below illustrates the possible alternative tracks that are suggested by a minority of computer model simulations.
If the forecast wind speeds do occur there's a risk of of falling trees as well as damage to buildings and other structures, bringing disruption to transport and power supplies.
The most recent windy spell of weather occurred on the 10th of October this year when gusts of almost 60 miles per hour were reached on the Norfolk coast. This was the result of low pressure in the North Sea, which also caused a sea surge and large waves.
Although the strongest winds on the 10th of October were confined to coastal areas, there were still reports of damage to trees, property and infrastructure throughout the region. Monday's storm is expected to result in even stronger winds over a wider area. It is likely to be the worst storm of 2013 and possibly the worst for several years to hit the south of the British Isles.
The depression will form near the Eastern Seaboard of the United States later today as a result of cold air from the Great Lakes mixing with warm air from the Caribbean. Once the initial low pressure system is formed it will continue to deepen as it is carried across the Atlantic towards the UK by the jet stream during the weekend.
The latest warnings information can be found at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings