The weather situation is very complex at present; different fronts coming and going, heavy rain, showers and cloud inbetween, rumbles of thunder. Things become simpler and less unsettled into the new week.
The line of showers which stretched from Southern Scotland, through Cheshire and down through Bristol this morning is all pushing north and eastwards during the course of Saturday.
Some bursts of heavy rain likely almost anywhere, especially further west, with rumbles of thunder. Heavy rain for Southern Scotland and Cumbria, and a weather warning is in force here until just before midnight for heavy rain. 20-40mm rain possible in the warning areas, maybe up to 50mm over the Cumbrian hills and the Southern Uplands.
East of the Pennines, dry but cloudy until around late afternoon or evening time. Temperatures 15-16c in Southern Scotland, nearer 19-20c in Cumbria, distinctly average further east, around the high teens celsius. Some bright spells reach Lancashire towards evening time but the wind begins to increase.
Little change although there should be a reduction in rainfall rates. Further outbreaks of persistent rain push northwards, temperatures in the low teens celsius, 13-14c. Quite windy overnight into Sunday, gusts 30-40mph through the Irish Sea.
More rain, some intense showers across SW Scotland but apart from that they will be less intense. Western areas see the worst of the rain, one or two heavy showers but not as persistent as Saturday's showers. Another "Be Aware" warning of heavy rain in force tomorrow, especially for the NW of the region. Patchier rain tomorrow. Tops 18-19c in Southern Scotland, 20-21c in Cumbria.
Less unsettled than weekend with lighter winds. Drier, some sun, a few showers but nothing like those over the weekend.
Much lighter winds on Monday, mainly dry and bright with sunny spells increasing.
Slight risk of a shower on Tuesday, more risk of showers on Wednesday.