After a dry and warm start, summer 2014 is set to end on a rather average note – with temperatures and rainfall close to normal levels for the season.
Using figures up to 27 August and then assuming average conditions for the final few days of the month, Met Office statistics show the UK mean temperature for this summer will be around 14.8C. This is just 0.5C above the long term average (1981-2010).
Rainfall overall is close to average, with the UK having seen 246.7mm of rain – which is just over the long-term average of 241.0mm. Rainfall from the final few days of August will add to this number, so overall the summer will be slightly wetter than average.
As ever when looking over a whole season, the statistics mask some big variations between each month.
June and July were both characterised by drier and warmer than average conditions across the UK which meant the summer was already one of the best we’ve seen in recent years.
August bucked that trend, however, with cooler and wetter than average weather. Taken together, this has led to the fairly average final statistics for summer.
Looking specifically at the early August figures, also released today, the UK mean temperature up to the 27th of the month is 13.8C which is 1.1C below the long-term average. This ranks it as currently the coolest August since 1993, but that could change when the final few days of the month are added.
August is also the first month since November 2013 to have been cooler than average, breaking an eight month run.
In terms of rainfall, August has been much wetter than average, with 127.1mm of rain which is 142% of the long-term average (89.5mm). This makes it the 18th wettest August in the records, but it may climb higher when the figures for the whole month are available.
What's in store this weekend? Saturday will see sunny spells and showers, the showers most frequent in Pennine areas, the best of the sunshine will be towards the east coast. It'll feel quite cool in the breeze with a high of 19ºC. Sunday will be a fine and dry day with sunny spells. There will be less wind too, so it will feel slightly warmer with a high of 20ºC Whatever you are doing, have a great weekend. JON MITCHELL