The research into the spread of the Asian tiger mosquito shows that parts of the UK could become hot-spots between 2030 and 2050.
The mosquito has been introduced into Europe from Asia via goods shipments, mainly used tyres and bamboo.
Climate change is now shifting conditions suitable for the insect from southern Europe to central north-western areas.
The mosquito could survive in water butts and vases, and may find winter protection in greenhouses, said the researchers.
More top news
After winning the Italian version of The Voice Sister Cristina has released her first single, a cover of one of Madonna's best known hits.
Research shows people often make sweeping judgments of others based on their facial features. But what does your face say about you?
A new Islamic State video reportedly shows a father helping IS members stone his daughter to death for adultery.