Labour hold slender lead over Conservatives in opinion poll

Labour are only four points ahead of the Conservatives, the lowest lead in any opinion poll since April, according to the latest ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow.

  • Conservative: 35% (+2)
  • Labour: 39% (-3)
  • Lib Dem: 10% (0)
  • UKIP: 8% (0)
  • Others: 8% (+1)
  • (Change since last ComRes online poll for Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror in August.)

The Martin Baxter calculator also produces a Labour majority of 42 seats on existing constituency boundaries.

The Liberal Democrats would lose 40 seats, down to just 17.

On new boundaries, now abandoned, the Labour majority would be cut to 14.