Iain Duncan Smith is a serial offender for misusing statistics. He has been wrapped over the knuckles for doing this before and if he needs to cook the books, his arguments must be weak.
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Despite the sunshine in short supply in the places the next few days - it stays warm and a little humid and close in places.
The surfer was at a popular tourist beach in Costa Rica when the crocodile attacked and bit him several times in the leg and head.
After a mild and quiet night, the best of the sunshine will be across the south east.