The Conservatives have told anyone who would listen that they won these seats in 2009 when Gordon Brown was very unpopular indeed. So the only way they can really go is backwards. The big question is how far back will they go and where did their support go.
If you have not failed to notice in the past few days, UKIP have great expectations, particularly in places like in Essex, where they do not have any councillors at the moment and in neighbouring Kent, where they have just one councillor.
I suspect that will be the story we will be talking about tomorrow.
UKIP leader Nigel Farage claimed a "sea change" in British politics as they gained more than 140 council seats in the local elections.
There is no question that the day belongs to UKIP and Nigel Farage. The party has gained over 100 seats and won about a quarter of the vote.
In an article for ITV News, the Conservative MP Adam Afriyie calls for a guarantee on an in-out EU referendum to deal with the UKIP threat.