By Colin Rallings: ITV Political Analyst
The first Euro results from the North East and the Eastern region, together with pieces of evidence from individual local authorities, shows Ukip on course to top the poll.
That would be an unprecedented outcome for a party with no MPs and suggests that many people who voted for other parties in the local elections switched to Ukip for the Euros.
Labour is doing better than five years ago when it was in government and finished third.
The Conservatives just lost their seat in the North East and another in Eastern, but their vote appears to be holding up rather better than that of their coalition partners - the Liberal Democrats.
If the Lib Dems are not to lose all 11 of their MEPs, the regions to look out for are the South West (which has been strong for the party over recent years) and the South East where there are 10 seats and a party only needs about 8% of the vote to pick up one.
Today EU leaders voted to back Jean-Claude Juncker as new president of the very powerful EU commission, which looks like business as usual.
In Essex the potential damage Ukip could do to Miliband's Downing Street elections is clear. He is there listening to voter's concerns.
The EU parliament is about to welcome the most Eurosceptic and right-wing intake in its history.