Ukip look set to win the Clacton by-election convincingly, according to a new poll.
The by-election follows the decision by MP Douglas Carswell to defect from the Conservatives to Nigel Farage's party.
The Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has Ukip on 64%, way ahead of the Tories on 20%, with Labour on 13% and the Lib Dems on just 2%.
Mr Carswell's personal appeal has helped the Ukip cause, with one in three respondents (34%) saying they would vote Ukip because they like him.
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She told reporters: "I don't think it's fully sunk in how really bad that could have been, I know it's not the right decision."