1. ITV Report

Average life expectancy for women in Wales to increase to 90 by 2030

The average life expectancy for women in Wales could be approaching 90 by 2030, a new study has found.

The research, based on Office for National Statistics data, found that men are also set to live longer than official estimates predict as the gender gap narrows.

The study suggests that by 2030, the average life expectancy for both women and men in Wales will increase.

The study suggests that the average life expectancy for women will rise from 83.3 in 2012 to 87.6 in 2030. For men, it is predicted to increase from 79.5 to 85.7 over the same period.

Researchers also found that by 2030, people in affluent southern England and well-off districts of London are expected to be living more than eight years longer than those in urban centres such as south Wales, Blackpool, Liverpool and Manchester.

The bigger gains in life expectancy we predict will mean pensions will have larger payouts, and health and social services will have to serve an older population than currently planned. We also forecast rising inequalities, with bigger increases in lifespan for people in affluent areas than those in disadvantaged areas. This means wealthy people will benefit more from health and social services than poor people, and therefore should be prepared to pay its costs through higher taxes.

– Professor Majid Ezzati, School of Public Health at Imperial College London

The research, drew on the death rate and population data for 375 local authority districts in Wales and England dating back to the 1980s.