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Miliband and Wood least disliked leaders

Our poll also asked voters to rate how much they liked -or disliked- the leaders heading their parties UK and Welsh election campaigns. When the likes and disliked were averaged out, no-one achieved even 50% likeability. Ed Miliband and Leanne Wood were the two most popular -or more accurately, the least disliked.

Here's how the leaders of the Welsh election campaigns rated:

  • Leanne Wood (Plaid Cymru): 47%
  • Kirsty Williams (Liberal Democrat): 41%
  • Stephen Crabb (Conservative) 37%
  • Owen Smith (Labour): 36%
  • Pippa Bartolotti (Green): 35%
  • Nathan Gill (UKIP): 30%

And the UK leaders:

  • Ed Miliband (Labour): 47%
  • David Cameron (Conservative): 40%
  • Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrat): 40%
  • Natalie Bennett (Green): 39%
  • Nigel Farage (UKIP): 35%

Poll shows Welsh Labour lead still 14%

YouGov for ITV Wales and Cardiff University, 4-8 May. Sample: 1,202 Credit: ITV Cymru Wales

The final poll of Welsh voters before tomorrow's election shows Labour maintaining their lead over the Conservatives in Wales, with Plaid Cymru edging just ahead of UKIP. Liberal Democrat support is slightly up and the Greens are down, compared with the last poll three weeks ago.

The exclusive poll for ITV Cymru Wales puts Labour on 39%, the Conservatives on 25, Plaid Cymru on 13, Ukip on 12 and the Liberal Democrats on 8%. The results show a slight increase in support for Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats over the last two weeks, with the other main parties each down 1%.

Here's the full result for Westminster voting intention from YouGov's Welsh Barometer Poll for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University:

  • Labour 39% (-1%)
  • Conservative 25% (-1%)
  • Plaid Cymru 13% (+1%)
  • UKIP 12% (-1%)
  • Liberal Democrats 8% (+2%)
  • Greens 2% (-2%)

Figures in brackets show the change since the last Barometer Poll, 13-15 April


  1. Nick Powell

Poll shows Labour maintaining lead in Wales

The latest Welsh opinion poll shows Labour maintaining its lead in Wales. For the first time, the results of the Welsh Barometer Poll have been weighted to reflect how likely people say they are to vote.

  • Labour 40%
  • Conservative 26%
  • UKIP 13%
  • Plaid Cymru 12%
  • Liberal Democrats 6%
  • Green 4%

The figures show little change since the last two Welsh polls, which were both carried out just before the televised debate by party leaders.

  • YouGov polled 1,143 Welsh adults for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University, 13-15 April 2015.
  1. Nick Powell

Poll shows increased Labour lead in Wales

Labour has reached 40% support in Wales for the first time in recent polls Credit: YouGov/ITV/Cardiff University Jan 24-27, Sample: 1,189

The first Welsh opinion poll of the General Election campaign shows that Labour has slightly improved its position, reaching 40% for the first time in nearly a year. YouGov's latest Welsh Barometer Poll for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University still puts the party well below the 50% plus it was polling before UKIP support started to climb two years ago. But it's 4% higher than the 2010 General Election result.

If opinion doesn't shift further during the election campaign, that should be enough to deliver Labour a couple of extra seats on May 7. The Conservatives on 25% are just 1% down on the result five years ago and Plaid Cymru's 11% shows no change on 2010. Those figures put both parties on course for no overall change in the number of Welsh seats they hold.

The inequalities built into the electoral system mean that the Liberal Democrats, down 15% on 5% can still hope to hold on to at least one seat but UKIP, up 12% to 14% are not on course to break through in any Welsh constituencies. The Greens are similarly disadvantaged, despite being neck and neck with the Liberal Democrats in this poll.

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