Welsh Labour says the results of today's poll are an endorsement both of Carwyn Jones' leadership in Wales and of Ed Miliband in Westminster.
However, the real story here is the complete collapse of the Tory vote in Wales - polling behind even Plaid, and on level pegging with UKIP, suggesting the people of Wales have completely lost faith with the cuts and incompetence of David Cameron's government.
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It should continue to become drier and brighter from the west. However, a sharp shower is possible.
The heaviest bursts are expected in the south and east, with some western areas either remaining dry or becoming dry by dawn.
Many places will start dry, but rain in the southeast will spread to most for a time overnight.