Welsh Labour says the results of today's poll are an endorsement both of Carwyn Jones' leadership in Wales and of Ed Miliband in Westminster.
However, the real story here is the complete collapse of the Tory vote in Wales - polling behind even Plaid, and on level pegging with UKIP, suggesting the people of Wales have completely lost faith with the cuts and incompetence of David Cameron's government.
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Clear spells across southern and eastern parts will lead to a chilly night with a local frost possible