Pressures on the NHS in Wales mean it could face a funding gap of £2.5bn by 2025/26, according to a report by the Nuffield Trust think tank.
The research suggests the shortfall - the result of 'rising costs' and 'tight' public finances - would occur if funding only rises in line with inflation after 2015/16.
More top news
Three men allegedly murdered a father-to-be in the street in broad daylight over drug debts, Cardiff Crown Court has heard.
Michael Wheeler, 22, admitted causing Sophie Taylor's death by dangerous driving during an alleged car chase.
Cloud will thicken from the south, with mist and fog reforming in many areas towards the end of the day. Maximum temperature 9 deg C.