D-Day for PM's Brexit deal as she faces 'meaningful vote' defeat
After two and half years of negotiating and fighting for her Brexit deal, Theresa May will face the biggest test of her leadership to date.
Tonight, MPs will cast their vote in the House of Commons, which will determine whether Parliament backs or rejects her Brexit deal. The results of this vote could end her tenure as Prime Minister by the end of the week.
It’s estimated she’s garnered the support of around 200 MPs to vote for her deal, however, Tory rebels are estimated to have more than 400 votes on their side - this includes those from the Labour party.
If May wins...
The UK can expect a smooth transition out of the EU based off May’s withdrawal agreement. The government will have two years to continue negotiating a Free Trade Agreement, and the country will operate business as usual.
GMB Political Editor Ranvir Singh explains:
If May loses...
There are several routes this could go:
Jeremy Corbyn will be pressured to table a no-confidence motion against the PM, triggering a general election. While Corbyn has rejected a second referendum, some MPs and political experts believe this could result in a people's vote once again.
May will be forced to go back to the EU and renegotiate a ‘Plan B’, which no one knows the details of.
The government faces a no-deal Brexit, meaning the UK will depart from the EU on March 29th as planned without any withdrawal agreements in place.
Ranvir with more details:
Whichever way it goes, MPs have debated the negative repercussions of both outcomes.
Today on Good Morning Britain, Conservative MP Nadhim Zahawi says “if we don’t vote through the withdrawal agreement today, tonight, we could end up with actually not leaving [the EU] - paralysis in Parliament.”
Conversely, MP and key Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg told Good Morning Britain a no-deal Brexit is better than May’s deal, calling it a “really exciting opportunity” to lower trade barriers with the rest of the world - particularly at a time when the European Union is struggling economically.
“Releasing ourselves from the links to a failed economic project is a real economic boom,” he said.