Something 'bizarre and unprecedented' would need to happen for July 19 lockdown easing to be delayed, says Michael Gove
Businesses are asking for more financial support amid the four-week delay to England's unlocking, Political Correspondent Carl Dinnen reports
Something "bizarre and unprecedented" would need to happen for the July 19 "terminus date" for lifting Covid restrictions to be pushed back, Michael Gove has said.
The Cabinet Office Minister said he shares Prime Minister Boris Johnson's confidence that July 19 will see the final easing of lockdown measures, with the four-week delay announced on Monday buying more time for people to receive vaccinations.
Sir Simon Stevens, chief executive of the NHS in England, said that all adults in England should be able to book their Covid-19 jab "by the end of this week".
Scientists had warned that the rapidly spreading Delta variant, which was first identified in India, would lead to a "significant" rise in hospital admissions if stage four of England's road map went ahead as planned on June 21.
Some Tory MPs have reacted with fury to the delay, and the news was described as a "devastating blow" for the night-time industry.
Michael Gove told ITV's Good Morning Britain: "The data shows that we should be in a position to have vaccinated so many people by that date in July that we will be able to lift restrictions.
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"Now, you know, none of us can predict the future with 100% certainty - there could be something bizarre and unprecedented that occurs.
"But, on the basis of all the information that we have, then we will have successfully protected such a large section of population, and of course children will be facing summer holidays and that brings the infection rate down.
"So we're as confident as confident can be about that date."
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The Prime Minister said he is “confident” no further delay will be necessary but was unable to rule that out, warning of the possibility that an unforeseen and “far more dangerous” variant could emerge.
He hopes deaths will be significantly reduced by July 19 because it is expected two-thirds of adults will have been offered both vaccine doses by then due to the delay being coupled with a reduction in the time between jabs for the over-40s.
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Professor Graham Medley, from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) advising the Government, warned that it is still possible that the nation could return to seeing hundreds of deaths a day.
"Although the numbers of deaths are low at the moment, everyone expects that they will rise. The question is really as to what level they will rise," he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.
"And at the moment there is a lot of uncertainty in what's going to happen over the next couple of months."
For now, limits on numbers for sports events, theatres and cinemas will remain in place, nightclubs will stay shuttered and people will be asked to continue working from home where possible.
Labour accused the government of “incompetence and indecision” and blamed the delay on border security.
Shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth said: “The only reason this delay is being introduced is because the Conservatives failed to secure the country’s borders and a new variant from overseas was allowed to take hold, and failed to put in measures like proper sick pay support and surge vaccinations when needed.”
Michael Gove defended the government's actions, saying "I believe we did the right thing."
He told ITV News the information about the variant originating in India being one of concern "only came after we put India on the red list and, even before we put India on the red list, there were restrictions on anyone coming from India."
"It's always possible to look back and, with the benefit of hindsight, argue that we should have taken a different course, but on the basis of the information we had I believe that we did the right thing."
The Night Time Industries Association said the delay would “drive confidence in the sector to a new low”, while pub bosses warned the delay would cost the sector £400 million.
Sir Howard Panter and Dame Rosemary Squire of Trafalgar Entertainment said the announcement was a “catastrophe” for the theatre, music and live entertainment sector, adding: “This delay is yet another bungle from a government that wouldn’t be given a single star in a review of its performance. The confusion and muddled messages are reminiscent of a West End farce.”
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Mr Johnson did, however, announce a limited easing of restrictions to take place from June 21 as he faces the prospect of a rebellion from Conservative MPs who are furious about the delay.
The 30-person cap for wedding ceremonies and receptions, as well as wakes, will be lifted – with limits to be set by venues based on social distancing requirements.
The Wimbledon finals will be contested in front of capacity crowds and Wembley will be allowed to host 40,000 fans for its final four Euro 2020 fixtures as the pilots on attendance of large events continue.
Care home residents will be permitted to stay overnight with friends and family from Monday without needing to quarantine for 14 days on return to their residences.
The target of offering all adults at least one jab was also brought forward to July 19, while over 23s will be invited to book their jabs from Tuesday.
Addressing the nation, Mr Johnson said: “It’s unmistakably clear that vaccines are working and the sheer scale of the vaccine rollout has made our position incomparably better than in previous waves.
“But now is the time to ease off the accelerator because by being cautious now we have the chance in the next four weeks to save many thousands of lives by vaccinating millions more people.”
England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty said the health service could “run into trouble” if the number of people being admitted to hospital with Covid continues on an “exponential path”.
But he said a four-week delay “will reduce significantly the risk of a very high peak which could cause significant problems in terms of pressure on the NHS” as well as knock-on effects.
In Scotland, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon is due to announce on Tuesday whether the latest easing of restrictions to the lowest level will go ahead on June 28.
The Scottish Government had indicated it hoped to move all areas to the lowest level of restrictions – level zero – from this date.
But a rise in case rates and hospital numbers, driven by the spread of the Delta variant of coronavirus that originated in India, may mean this is delayed.
Modelling by the Government’s Spi-M group suggested there was a possibility of hospital admissions reaching the heights of the first peak in March 2020 if the relaxation in England went ahead on Monday.
Experts believe the Delta variant is driving a rapid accelerations in cases, estimating it is between 40% and 80% more transmissible than the Alpha variant first found in Kent.
Ministers were expected to hold a vote over the extension in Parliament after a debate on Wednesday, with lockdown-sceptic MPs on the Tory backbenches considering a rebellion.
But the regulations will almost certainly be approved by the Commons after Mr Ashworth said the party would support extending the restrictions.
The Prime Minister came under fire from Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle and senior Tory MPs over the decision to release details of the changes via a press conference at 6pm on Monday rather than to Parliament.