1. National

Tory MPs 'prepare to defy Cameron over EU vote'

As many as 100 Tory MPs could be preparing to defy the party leadership by making a personal pledge to vote for a British exit from the EU in an in/out referendum.

The Independent reports that the eurosceptics are prepared to promise to vote 'No' to EU membership regardless of what concessions David Cameron can win from Brussels.

The Prime Minister has pledged to renegotiate the terms of British membership and then give the British people an in/out referendum in 2017.

Ukip leader Nigel Farage said a by-election win for his party in Clacton would signal a "landslide in British politics" as an opinion poll indicated that the Tories would face a humiliating defeat in the contest triggered by Douglas Carswell's shock defection.

Mr Farage, who said the party was "testing the waters" with other potential turncoats - including from Labour - predicted Ukip could hold the balance of power in Parliament.

A Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday gave Ukip a massive 44 point lead over David Cameron's party and Mr Farage predicted that a win would result in "more and more people coming over to us".

View all 24 updates ›

Poll suggests big Ukip win in Clacton by-election

Ukip look set to win the Clacton by-election convincingly, according to a new poll.

The by-election follows the decision by MP Douglas Carswell to defect from the Conservatives to Nigel Farage's party.

Nigel Farage and Douglas Carswell on a walkabout in Clacton. Credit: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire/Press Association Images

The Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has Ukip on 64%, way ahead of the Tories on 20%, with Labour on 13% and the Lib Dems on just 2%.

Mr Carswell's personal appeal has helped the Ukip cause, with one in three respondents (34%) saying they would vote Ukip because they like him.

More top news