The latest Welsh opinion poll shows Labour maintaining its lead in Wales. For the first time, the results of the Welsh Barometer Poll have been weighted to reflect how likely people say they are to vote.
- Labour 40%
- Conservative 26%
- UKIP 13%
- Plaid Cymru 12%
- Liberal Democrats 6%
- Green 4%
The figures show little change since the last two Welsh polls, which were both carried out just before the televised debate by party leaders.
- YouGov polled 1,143 Welsh adults for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University, 13-15 April 2015.
Prof Roger Scully crunches the numbers and looks at what the results in Wales might be on the basis of the latest opnion poll
Professor Roger Scully gives his expert analysis of today's Welsh Barometer poll
The latest poll focussed attention on how people intend to vote for Westminster but it also asked about next year's Assembly election.